Gabe Newell (Valve) and the Game Industry

A few news articles have been coming out of the DICE Summit. In an article titled, “The Very Different Gaming World Gabe Newell Wants”, Newell had some thoughts on “how he thinks the video game industry should work”.

-Pricing that’s always in flux: Are you ready for the price of a game to go up and down regularly? “One of the things that annoys me is the inefficiency in pricing we have in our industry,” Newell said. He doesn’t like how rigidly prices are set in stores and how slowly those prices are changed… Valve has hired an experimental psychologist to concoct new sales promotions, one possible idea being to reward every 25th purchaser of “Left 4 Dead” with a free game on Steam. Newell joked that this person is “turning us to the dark side of B.F. Skinner.”

Hm. I’m not sure that I’d categorize this under “how the gaming industry should work”. I think what Valve is doing with the price fluxuations is this: attract attention. By having sales, they have an excuse to get into the gaming news. They also give people a reason to keep checking their website (any sales yet)? If you can keep people coming back to your website, odds are better that they’ll buy something – maybe even buying/trying a different product from Steam. As far as I can tell, it’s worked pretty well. I saw gaming websites talking about Valve’s “Left 4 Dead” sale. For example, Joystiq posted this article: “This weekend: Left 4 Dead 50% off on Steam”. Price fluxuations = excuse for gaming websites to talk about you = free advertising.

-Frequent content updates: Newell said “Team Fortress 2″ has received 63 updates from Valve in the last 14 months. That is the future, he told the developers in the audience: “You’re going to be touching [your customers] not every three years but every three weeks — and hopefully even more often than that.

Wait – this if how the gaming industry is supposed to work? If you do the math, there, you’ll see that 63 updates in 14 months is more than one update per week. One of my irritations with Team Fortress 2 was that they were always updating it. Want to play a quick game before you go to bed? Oops! You have to download a patch before you play. Hope you don’t mind a 20 minute download first. One of the other problems that happens with PC games is that the ability to patch games after release means developers feel less bad about releasing a “not quite complete” games, knowing that they can patch it after the fact. One guess here is that Gabe wants to make sure people are tied into the Valve service (since patches are only available through your account) – which means you bought your game (and didn’t pirate it). Frequent updates means pirates are running old versions, and if you want the latest fixes, you’d better buy it. It certainly keeps the uploading-pirates and downloading-pirates busy. I’m doubtful that it improves anything for gamers, but if it helps Valve shake-off some pirates and get some more sales, then gamers are helped indirectly.

-Video game companies acting as “entertainment companies”: Newell said he is “obsessing” over gamers’ expectations for “what kind of entertainment company they want us to be.” They are fans of properties, not forms of entertainment, fans, to use his example, of Harry Potter, as opposed to just Potter books or just Potter movies. As a result, he said he is moving away from thinking of Valve as a video game company. One example is the introduction of “Team Fortress 2″ video shorts made by Valve. The next will be that same team’s “TF2″ comics.

Selling merch – aka: opening up another revenue stream for the company. Not a new idea, but not a bad idea, either.

-No DRM should be offered that can be thought of as DRM: Newell believes that digital rights management software that is presented as copy-protection gives a game a stink. It leaves customers unsure about how flexibly they can access their games. So they turn to pirates who offer games with fewer strings, he suggested. “There is evidence anecdotally that DRM is increasing piracy rather than decreasing piracy.” Valve’s solution: battle the pirates by providing better services than the pirates do. The effectiveness of pirates, he said, is to get content to people who want it more swiftly and easily than the companies who make the content do. An outfit like Valve, however, can get provide even better service, even by doing something as intrusive as data-mining their customers’ computers — as long as they are transparent about it and can prove to the customer that taking such measures will make the customers’ games better.

Well, this isn’t really news coming from Valve. I’m always amused when people rail against DRM, but then suggest following in Valve’s footsteps (oblivious to the fact that Steam is DRM). What this says to me is that there is a right way and a wrong way to do DRM – which is different than view promoted by groups like DefectiveByDesign: that all DRM is bad – inherently wrong, wrong in principle. Ideally, gamers should be able to use their games (and music and movies) without ever running into restrictions during normal use. At the same time, Steam is there to stop people from uploading/downloading games to filesharing sites. Gabe Newell is frequently misunderstood when talking about DRM. You often have to parse his words very carefully to understand exactly what he means. For example, Joystiq paraphrases him as saying “Gabe Newell wants to shake up the way the industry works by … getting away from DRM as copy-protection”. That sentence sounds like Newell is opposed to DRM. He’s not. The original article quotes him as saying: “Newell believes that digital rights management software that is presented as copy-protection gives a game a stink.” Newell is suggesting digital rights management that isn’t presented as copy-protection – it’s presented as a system to automatically download patches, etc. In an article less then six months old, Doug Lombardi (of Valve) was quoted as saying:

Lombardi, and others I spoke to off the record, say that at least for digitally downloaded PC games, DRM and copy protection is here to stay. For Valve the biggest push is to lock down those “zero day” pirates. Day zero is the time between when a game goes gold and when it is available for purchase… The key to making a good authentication system, Lombardi says, is to not stand in the way of customers enjoying what they bought.

By keeping their DRM strings invisible, many gamers seem unaware of the fact that Steam is DRM. I see examples like this all the time:

Valve seems to have managed to simultaneously use DRM and get lots of people to praise them for not using DRM. And, of course, if people break their DRM – well, Valve can fall-back on the fact that only legitimate buyers get the weekly updates mentioned earlier.

-Concept art for everyone: Newell wants creators and customers to be in more direct communication with each other before and after the release of a game. One such method is to show concept art early, which builds buzz. The concept art, Newell said, “is a more effective tool [for building buzz] than most of the advertising around your product.”

This idea isn’t even remotely new.

It won’t be better graphics that determines a winner in the next console generation (which, of course, it never has been: see the N64, Xbox and PS3). It’ll be the extent to which a console allows game creators “to have this relationship with your customers.” The “this” is everything bullet-pointed above.

True. You want customers coming back to your website over and over. I’m sure the Valve-customer relationship will establish their website as great place to advertise their next game, increase brand recognition, open up more possibilities for selling old stuff / merch, becoming more than just a faceless corporation, etc, etc. The other day, I was thinking about how the games industry is different than a lot of other industries. I don’t really remember what companies made which games, and which games were made by which companies. It’s just not that important because titles are so variable. I’m never in a position where I say, “Oh, Valve made X. I like that game. Here’s another game by Valve. I’ll probably like this one, too.” But, when I’m talking about a musician or an author, I think it’s a different situation – I might buy an album from a musician if I like their other stuff, even if I haven’t heard a single song from that album. And people have a pretty good idea what a book will be like if it’s written by Stephen King. But, we just don’t follow game companies like that. Maybe games are more variable in their execution. What this ultimately means for game companies is that they have to convince customers of the merits of each and every game (rather than relying on an “established reputation”). The relationship Gabe is talking about plays an important role in selling the merits of the next game.

In the end, I don’t think Gabe Newell has much new to say, and it certainly isn’t a “very different gaming world” (as the title of the article suggests). One thing that did occur to me while reading this, though, is that the gaming industry is picking up the same strategies that politicians have used on the campaign trail: repeat yourself constantly. Repeat, repeat, repeat – drill in your ideas over and over because different people are listening each time. It seems like the game companies maintain a set of talking points – stuff they can repeat to game journalists for a story. (I remember Brad Wardell of Stardock doing the same thing.) I hope I never have to play that role. I get really bored of repeating myself.

Games Industry Recession?

I have to say that I’m a bit confused. I’ve heard that the games industry is relatively recession-proof. I’ve also heard that game sales were actually up in 2008 compared to 2007. Yet, I keep seeing these kinds of stories in the news:

Sega laying off 560 staff, closing 110 amusement facilities
NCsoft downsizes UK operation, laying off 55 staffers
Midway files for Chapter 11
Square Enix lowers revenue forecast for fiscal year
Activision Blizzard loses $72m in Q4 ’08; outlook misses ’09 expectations

I haven’t quite figured out how both could be true at the same time. Is there some other segment of the games industry (like casual games or Nintendo) that are doing really well, but other parts are getting hit hard? Haven’t quite figured it out yet.

Combat in Games

I was reading a blog post a few days ago. The author made a comment that there are basically just three types of combat in games. I thought it was an interesting observation – and one I’ve never really thought about.

1. Combat is the game. The combat has to be interesting and strategic. This includes strategy games and fighting games (e.g. Street Fighter).
2. Combat acts as an obstacle or speed-bump to completing the game. This includes games like Mario Brothers and Zelda. Most of the combat in those games (against, say the turtles and mushrooms) is easy, and it acts as an obstacle to rescuing the princess.
3. Combat is used to get experience or items – in other words, it improves your game character in some way. Role-playing games follow this pattern. The blogger made the comment that his friend got bored of combat once his game character was maxed-out in experience.

I do have to wonder, though, how many games include mixtures of all three game elements? Does it make for a better game? I guess the original Zelda does have mixtures of all three: lots of easy enemies that do little more than act as obstacles, a few “boss” monsters that requires some strategy, and they often drop important loot.

Tycho on Turn-Based Games

Interesting quote from Tycho (of Penny Arcade):

Generally, I prefer turn-based games to real-time for the same reason I prefer writing to speech. [Gears of War, Ping-Pong, etc.] require the cultivation of a “Now Mind,” a highly reactive awareness that I’m never called on to posses. My role in multiplayer shooters is typically to absorb bullets intended for my teammates.
(Link: Penny Arcade)

I tend to prefer turn-based games over real-time games as well. Though, it’s not that I’m bad at real-time games. It’s that I dislike the frantic pace and reactive / instinctual / knee-jerk method of play required by real-time strategy games, as opposed to the more thoughtful planning of turn-based games.

Eidos Games the Critics’ Scores

I heard about this story through Penny Arcade’s podcast (minutes 14:00-40:00 of this podcast). I’ve heard about this kind of stuff in the past – where game companies try to delay bad reviews until after release. Obviously, the problem is that gamers want a reliable source to critique a game before they buy it. Game Companies want the best possible score so that more people will buy it. And so, the tug-of-war begins. Anyway, here’s an excerpt of (just the latest) game-score manipulation:

Eidos UK’s PR firm has confirmed that British sites planning on posting Tomb Raider: Underworld reviews with less than an 8.0 score are being asked to hold off posting them until Monday.

“That’s right. We’re trying to manage the review scores at the request of Eidos.”

When asked why, the spokesperson said: “Just that we’re trying to get the Metacritic rating to be high, and the brand manager in the US that’s handling all of Tomb Raider has asked that we just manage the scores before the game is out, really, just to ensure that we don’t put people off buying the game, basically.”

British site Eurogamer has already gone live with their 7 out of 10 review, which the representative said had caused “problems”.
Sources: Kotaku, Videogaming247

It’s kind of funny how Eidos just comes out and says that they’re attempting to “manage the scores” (read: make gamers think critic’s opinions are uniformly positive about the game). Didn’t Eidos learn anything from the whole “Kane and Lynch” thing? (In that situation, Jeff Gerstmann posted a 6/10 score for Kane and Lynch – also by Eidos – before it was released, and was fired because of it.) Link: “Gamespot’s Gerstmann Fired, Allegedly Over Kane and Lynch Review”, and Penny Arcade’s comic about it.

Fallout 3

Well, Fallout 3 gets released tomorrow. I’m interested to see what they do with it. I was a little concerned that the transition from overhead-view to first / third-person view might mess up some things. From the articles I’ve seen, they say the game is uneven – good in some parts, poor in others. I expect to wait at least a week and let the reviews pour in before checking it out for myself. It’s too bad there’s no demo for the game. I really like to check out demos before I buy a game. The game developer said that the game world can’t be cut-up into a convenient demo format (although, I have to wonder about that claim – couldn’t they make a little sandbox area? Maybe throw together some game-world pieces into a 5-minute demo?) I’m leaning towards “we didn’t have the time to make a proper demo”.

It’s also too bad they got hit with piracy – causing the game to be leaked almost three weeks before the release date.

Speaking of Fallout, there’s an old abandoned factory not far from my house. Whenever I pass it, I think of the Fallout series. It looks rather post-apocalyptic, and could easily be an inspiration for some quest in the game.
Gates Rubber Company

10 Years Ago: Duke Nukem Forever

I happened to stumble on this the other day while cleaning up some stuff. It’s an article from PC Gamer published exactly 10 years ago this month. In the very last paragraph, he makes reference to Duke Nukem Forever as being “on the way”. Heh. Ten years later and it still hasn’t been released.